A startling revelation has emerged from a recent poll, indicating that a staggering two-thirds of UK voters are misinformed about immigration trends. Despite a significant decline in the number of people entering the UK, the poll reveals a concerning disconnect between reality and perception. This finding carries significant implications for the Labour government's immigration policies, which have been under scrutiny for their hardline stance. The poll, conducted by More in Common, highlights a growing credibility gap for the government on migration. While net migration to the UK has plummeted by more than two-thirds, reaching a post-pandemic low, a majority of voters believe it has increased. This discrepancy is particularly striking among Reform voters, where four out of five believe immigration has grown, and over three-fifths (63%) think it has 'increased significantly'. The Home Secretary, Shabana Mahmood, has promised substantial reforms to the UK's asylum system, proposing policies that aim to deter migrants and refugees. However, these measures have not been well-received, with fierce opposition from some Labour MPs. The poll also reveals a lack of confidence in the government's ability to control borders, with three-quarters of voters expressing little or no confidence in the government's handling of immigration. This sentiment is particularly pronounced among those who supported Labour in 2024, where confidence has dropped by 17%. The issue of small boats remains a critical factor in public perception of migration. While the number of people arriving on small boats has increased by 38% in the year ending June 2025, it still represents a small proportion of overall immigration. However, the public's focus on this issue is evident, with 79% of voters wanting the government to prioritize stopping small boat crossings. The poll also highlights a persistent public cynicism about migration, with a lag in perception that could shift voter opinions in the coming months. The government's efforts to emphasize a tough line on migration may not be enough to challenge deeply ingrained perceptions. Furthermore, when accurate migration figures are presented, the government's credit for the decline is low, with a similar number attributing it to the previous Conservative government. This finding underscores the challenge of managing public perception and the need for a balanced approach to immigration policies.
